17 Jul · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1556
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vitasek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1491
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (32)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H26-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-21)