17 Jul · 22:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Ondrej Varecka
ELO 1572
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Varecka
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1509
FormLLWWL
55%
45%
🌟Hendrych covers set handicap as underdog 65% (48)
Fair odds · Varecka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)