17 Jul · 22:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Cibik
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Cibik
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1493
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Cibik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (64)
Fair odds · Cibik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.