17 Jul · 18:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1651
2-3Final setsGuzy won
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1613
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 54%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.7
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Duch is favoured to win, below means Karol Guzy.
▲ Adam Duchpre 58% → final 2%
Karol Guzy ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsGuzy recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games