17 Jul · 17:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1500
3-2Final setsKral won
MT
🇨🇿Milan Tlusty
ELO 1486
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Kral at 51%. The actual result was Adam Kral 3-2 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Kral favoured — closing 1.37
Total 82.5
96 points played
Set handicap
Adam Kral −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Kral −4.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.4
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Kral is favoured to win, below means Milan Tlusty.
▲ Adam Kralpre 55% → final 98%
Milan Tlusty ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKral recovered from 33%53 points · 3 games