18 Jul · 08:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1588
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Holub
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1460
FormWLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)