18 Jul · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1606
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gembala
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1534
FormLWLLL
56%
44%
🌟Gembala rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (46)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)