18 Jul · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1408
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zeman
KZ
🇨🇿Karel Zeman
ELO 1485
FormWWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+77
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)