18 Jul · 14:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1535
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vitasek🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (35)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H13-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.