18 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1453
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skvor
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Skvor stays under total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Skvor
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.