18 Jul · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pribyl
ELO 1592
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pribyl
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Jr goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Pribyl
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.