18 Jul · 13:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1509
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1629
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
🌟Zelezny goes over total as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+120
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)