18 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1464
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Flesar
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1444
FormWWLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H13-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.