18 Jul · 14:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DZ
🇨🇿Daniel Zelezny
ELO 1509
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kratochvil
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.