18 Jul · 15:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1629
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hnizdil
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1528
FormWLLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H27-21
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-21)