18 Jul · 09:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1491
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kratochvil
CK
🇨🇿Christian Kratochvil
ELO 1514
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Kratochvil rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Kratochvil
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.