18 Jul · 10:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1446
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jancak
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1418
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
🌟Jancak goes over total as favourite 64% (28)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.