18 Jul · 20:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1660
FormLLWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Sarganek
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1492
FormWLLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+168
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)