18 Jul · 20:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1601
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jirout
VJ
🇨🇿Vojtech Jirout
ELO 1651
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
🌟Jirout stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Jirout
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.