18 Jul · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1632
FormWWLWW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)