18 Jul · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1516
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Mandrysz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.