18 Jul · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1460
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1512
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.