18 Jul · 16:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1473
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Langer
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1547
FormLLWWL
44%
56%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (67)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)