18 Jul · 21:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Michal Prochazka
ELO 1569
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kulisek
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1592
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Prochazka🌟Prochazka covers set handicap as underdog 92% (12)
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.