18 Jul · 19:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1601
FormWLWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Niezgoda
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1442
FormLWLWL
63%
37%
🌟Niezgoda stays under total as favourite 63% (63)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+159
H2H44-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-20)