18 Jul · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1525
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1549
FormWWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Vitasek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (34)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H7-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.