18 Jul · 21:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1442
FormLWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1660
FormLLWLW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+218
H2H34-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+218)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-22)