18 Jul · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1461
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Beran
MB
🇨🇿Matej Beran
ELO 1530
FormLWLLW
44%
56%
🌟Beran rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Beran
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)