18 Jul · 17:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Jnr
ELO 1530
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jnr
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1478
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
🌟Jnr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (12)
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.