18 Jul · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1517
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Drozd
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1494
FormWWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Drozd
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.