18 Jul · 21:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1421
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1546
FormLLLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+125
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)