18 Jul · 17:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1494
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Holub
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1578
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H2-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)