18 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1525
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vitasek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Precek🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (32)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H13-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.