18 Jul · 22:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1492
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zaskodny
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1442
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Zaskodny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H6-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.