18 Jul · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1460
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lasota
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1494
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Lasota
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.