18 Jul · 21:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1601
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1660
FormLLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Niezgoda covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H33-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)