18 Jul · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1547
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Langer
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1461
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Langer rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (67)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)