18 Jul · 21:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1484
FormWLWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Trnka
TT
🇨🇿Tomas Trnka
ELO 1662
FormWWWWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Trnka
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+178
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)