18 Jul · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DH
🇨🇿David Hons
ELO 1484
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1546
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)