18 Jul · 22:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1632
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chaloupka
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1549
FormWWWLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)