18 Jul · 16:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1604
1-3Final setsDuch won
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1657
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 52%. The actual result was Adam Duch 1-3 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.6
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.
▲ Karol Guzypre 44% → final 10%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsDuch recovered from 24%67 points · 4 games