19 Jul · 07:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1696
FormWWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Moravec
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1567
FormWWWLL
60%
40%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+129
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)