19 Jul · 07:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇨🇿Jindrich Coufal
ELO 1489
FormWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Coufal
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1480
FormLLLWL
51%
49%
🌟Chvojka covers set handicap as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Coufal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.