19 Jul · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1430
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1531
FormLLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Koutnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (22)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)