19 Jul · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1546
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Heuman
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1551
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
🌟Heuman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (27)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.