19 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1531
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Koutnik
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1527
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal🌟Vodal covers set handicap as underdog 76% (55)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.