19 Jul · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1583
FormWWWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dohnal
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1468
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (100)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H40-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-22)