19 Jul · 12:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Lukas Pour
ELO 1378
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Brynych
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Brynych
ELO 1396
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Brynych rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (16)
Fair odds · Brynych
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.