19 Jul · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1471
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chlad
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1383
FormLLLLW
57%
43%
🌟Chlad rarely covers set handicap as favourite 17% (18)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)