19 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1438
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pesout
PK
🇨🇿Patrik Klusacek
ELO 1384
FormWWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H11-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.